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October 6
- S&P 500: An Unprecedented Opportunity (Technical Analysis)1. The S&P 500 maintains a strong bullish trend, closing Q3 near record highs and starting Q4 robustly; 2. Markets interpreted the government shutdown as a catalyst for rallying, unconstrained by economic data disruptions; 3. The article questions the sustainability of the steep trend channel and identifies a critical inflection point, with the author adjusting positions based on bullish/bearish signals.
- UnitedHealth Group: Optum Is The True Genius1. UnitedHealth Group combines a leading health benefits platform with a diversified health services business (Optum), creating a strong competitive moat; 2. Its massive scale enables sustainable cost advantages and superior negotiating power with healthcare providers; 3. The company consistently returns substantial free cash flow to shareholders through growing dividends and share buybacks.
October 5
- The Real Catalyst Behind Alexandria Real Estate1. The global semiconductor industry is confronting significant supply chain disruptions due to geopolitical tensions and production bottlenecks; 2. Surging demand from sectors like AI, electric vehicles, and 5G technology exacerbates supply-demand imbalances; 3. Industry leaders and governments are prioritizing strategic investments and partnerships to strengthen resilience and innovation capabilities.
- Wall Street Week Ahead1. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech and remarks from other policymakers will dominate market attention amid delayed economic data due to the U.S. government shutdown; 2. The third-quarter earnings season begins, with key reports from Delta Air Lines (DAL) and PepsiCo (PEP), alongside other companies like Levi Strauss (LEVI) and Tilray (TLRY); 3. Samuel Smith of High Yield Investor highlights undervalued dividend stocks as a generational opportunity, emphasizing sectors like REITs, energy, and AI-driven industries amid macroeconomic shifts.
- Marvell Could Be A 'Marvellous' Buy1. TSMC's Q2 2024 revenue rose 40% YoY to $20.67 billion, with net profit up 36% to $7.2 billion, exceeding market expectations; 2. Strong AI-related demand from data centers and high-performance computing (HPC) offset weaker smartphone and automotive chip sales; 3. The company raised its 2024 revenue growth forecast to 30% and highlighted AI as a key driver for long-term expansion.
- Zscaler: Why I'm Doubling Down Now1. The U.S. is investigating Chinese semiconductor firms for allegedly bypassing sanctions by transferring technology to Huawei for its Mate 60's 7nm chip; 2. The probe focuses on SMIC and Huawei's collaboration, which enabled advanced chip production despite U.S. export restrictions; 3. The investigation reflects U.S. concerns over China's semiconductor advancements and may lead to stricter export controls.
- Zscaler: Unstoppable Momentum As ARR Builds1. Zscaler achieved 32% year-over-year billings growth in Q4, accelerating from 25% in Q3; 2. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) surpassed $3 billion, covering ~92% of FY26 guidance and signaling potential upside; 3. The company maintains a buy rating despite a high valuation (~14x forward revenue), trading below peers like CrowdStrike.
- IDE: Reindustrialization Will Drive Growth Across Focus Sectors1. Voya Infrastructure, Industrials and Materials Fund (IDE) provides global equity exposure to infrastructure, industrials, and materials sectors with a 9.86% forward yield; 2. The fund uses a thematic, factor-based strategy and generates additional income through call options; 3. Growth catalysts include U.S. policy incentives and international trade agreements, positioning IDE as a Buy-rated option for income-focused portfolios due to its competitive fees and alignment with long-term trends.
October 4
- TQQQ: An Alpha Opportunity1. ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) is positioned to benefit from accelerating AI spending and growth in the Data Center industry; 2. TQQQ's portfolio is heavily concentrated in top tech stocks like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple, driven by AI advancements; 3. While offering leveraged exposure to tech growth, TQQQ carries volatility risks and is suitable for high-risk-tolerant investors.
- Central Bank Gold Statistics: Central Bank Gold Buying Rebounds In August1. Central banks resumed gold purchases in August with a net addition of 15 tons to global reserves after a pause in July; 2. The National Bank of Kazakhstan was the largest buyer, joined by Bulgaria and El Salvador; 3. Poland, the top gold purchaser year-to-date, increased its target share of gold reserves to strengthen its economic position.
- Weekly Indicators: Almost Completely Unaffected By Government Shutdown1. High-frequency economic indicators show continued US economic strength despite sectoral weaknesses, supported by yield curve spreads and corporate profits; 2. Housing and real estate loans exhibit recessionary trends, while commodity prices and a weaker US dollar point to global economic softness; 3. Negative regional Fed services surveys contrast with resilient consumer spending, which remains critical for near-term stability.
October 3
- Commodity Catchup: Why Are Central Banks Buying So Much Gold?1. TSMC's Q2 2024 revenue grew 32% YoY to $20.8 billion, with net profit surging 76%; 2. AI-related revenue accounted for 10% of total sales, projected to grow over 20% annually in the next five years; 3. Advanced packaging capacity will double by end-2024, with a new plant planned in Chiayi, Taiwan to meet AI chip demand.
- Politics And The Markets 10/03/251. The Trump administration cancels $3.1B in climate-related energy projects, including a California grid upgrade, affecting 16 Democrat-led states. 2. A potential $10B-$14B farm aid package is under consideration to offset tariff-related losses for U.S. farmers, funded by tariff revenues. 3. The White House halts $26B in infrastructure and climate funding, delaying projects like NYC's 2nd Avenue Subway amid a government shutdown and partisan disputes over healthcare subsidies.
October 2
- T-Mobile US: Stock Price To Follow Strong Bottom Line Growth1. The global semiconductor industry is grappling with severe supply chain disruptions due to prolonged chip shortages; 2. Increased demand for electronics, pandemic-related production delays, and geopolitical tensions have exacerbated the crisis; 3. Industry leaders are prioritizing investments in manufacturing capacity and diversifying supply chains to mitigate future risks.
- Nagarro: Considering Increasing My Position1. TSMC's Q2 2024 revenue reached $20.67 billion, exceeding market expectations; 2. Growth driven by increased adoption of advanced 3/5nm processes and surging AI-related chip demand; 3. The company anticipates continued momentum in H2 2024 with AI and high-performance computing applications fueling semiconductor demand.
- Carlisle: 2025 Weakness Creates 2026 Opportunity1. Carlisle Companies is rated a Buy, with shares considered undervalued after a 2025 correction, offering 14% upside potential; 2. Resilient earnings, strong cash flow, and capital returns (including $700M buybacks and a 17.6% dividend hike) support its valuation; 3. Despite construction sector weakness, re-roofing demand, energy efficiency trends, and acquisition synergies position CSL for long-term growth, though risks like prolonged downturns remain.
- October 2025 Perspective1. TSMC's Q2 revenue surged significantly due to strong demand for AI chips; 2. The company is expanding production capacity to meet growing market needs; 3. Ongoing supply chain constraints and geopolitical tensions pose risks to future operations.
October 1
- Paychex: The Opportunity Is Almost Worth Jumping On1. Samsung Electronics’ union declares its first-ever strike in company history; 2. The strike aims to demand improved wages and performance-based bonuses; 3. Potential impact on semiconductor production remains unclear, with management downplaying disruptions.
September 30
- Occidental Petroleum: Assessing The Impact Of A Potential OxyChem Sale1. Occidental Petroleum is negotiating to sell its OxyChem division for over $10 billion, a strategic move to address its debt burden amid cyclical challenges in the chemical industry; 2. The sale could reduce OXY's principal debt below its $15 billion target, significantly strengthening its balance sheet; 3. While the transaction would position Occidental as a pure-play energy exploration company and boost shareholder returns, investors must consider the long-term opportunity cost of divesting a stable business segment.
- Grab Holdings Is Cheaper Than It Looks1. Grab Holdings operates a Southeast Asian 'super app' integrating ride-hailing, food delivery, and fintech services; 2. Despite a high P/E ratio of 150, the company recently achieved profitability, signaling strong future earnings growth; 3. The author's firsthand experience in Southeast Asia highlights Grab's dominance over competitors, justifying its valuation amid long-term growth prospects.
September 29
- Why I Believe Energy Is The Ultimate Long-Term Bet - And Why It's Only Getting Better1. Energy stocks present strong value due to low valuations, supply constraints, and rising long-term demand; 2. Declining OPEC+ spare capacity, reduced U.S. shale investment, and political risks create a bullish oil price environment; 3. Key opportunities include Canadian oil sands, Permian Basin producers, and royalty/landowner firms, with optimism for select natural gas and service companies.
- Economic Data Might Get Even More Complicated1. A potential U.S. government shutdown by October 1 threatens furloughs for federal employees and delays in critical economic data releases, including September's non-farm payrolls; 2. Delayed inflation data could complicate the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions ahead of its October meeting; 3. Historical trends suggest limited market impact from shutdowns, but current high valuations and low volatility indices like the VIX leave markets vulnerable to sudden swings, with analysts viewing any weakness as a buying opportunity.
- Nebius: Premium Valuation, Explosive Growth1. Nebius secures major contracts with Microsoft, Cloudflare, and Shopify, validating its AI infrastructure capabilities; 2. Rapid revenue growth and strategic global expansion support sustained profitability despite high valuation multiples; 3. Significant capital expenditures and upside from its Avride autonomous driving subsidiary justify a BUY rating for long-term growth.
- Craving Volatility? Be Careful What You Wish For1. Stock market volatility provides long-term investors opportunities to acquire undervalued assets during irrational sell-offs; 2. The current VIX level of 15 is below its historical average (19), and historical data shows higher annualized returns during high-VIX periods; 3. No consistent link exists between VIX levels and future returns, making consistent long-term investing more reliable than timing volatility spikes, though deploying capital during extreme volatility may enhance returns.
- U.S. Economy: AI Mania, Fed Policy, And Q4 Market Risks1. AI drives cross-sector growth, with data center spending exceeding new office construction; 2. Intel secures $5B investment from Nvidia and U.S. government support to revive its foundry business; 3. A diversified portfolio (25% equities, bonds, cash, gold) outperforms traditional 60/40 allocation amid high valuations and volatility.
September 28
- 5 Best AI Revolution Stocks With Room To Run1. The article identifies five AI-related stocks with strong momentum and attractive valuations, suggesting further growth potential; 2. Selection criteria include strong Quant Ratings (Buy/Strong Buy), valuation metrics, and momentum indicators; 3. The author emphasizes a data-driven approach to avoid emotional biases and highlights stocks supporting the AI economy as a 'value-plus backbone'.
- My Absolute Favorite Picks For The $4 Trillion AI Infrastructure Boom1. AI-driven data center expansion is driving massive demand for power infrastructure upgrades, requiring trillions in investments to modernize the aging U.S. grid; 2. Key beneficiaries include infrastructure firms like Quanta Services, Eaton, and United Rentals, which are critical enablers of AI growth; 3. Despite high valuations, long-term growth potential remains strong due to policy support and secular trends, with infrastructure companies overlooked compared to AI tech leaders like NVIDIA.
- Wall Street Week Ahead1. Wall Street focuses on labor market data, including August job openings, private employment figures, and September nonfarm payrolls, amid Fed rate cuts citing labor market risks; 2. Key earnings reports from Nike, Carnival, and others will be released throughout the week; 3. Analysis highlights potential market volatility due to the Fed's rate cuts and a flattening yield curve, with risks of higher rates and a stronger dollar.
- CoreWeave's AI Climb Still Hides Untapped Firepower1. CoreWeave emerges as a top AI infrastructure provider, utilizing Nvidia-backed GPU cloud solutions and securing long-term contracts with major AI clients; 2. CRWV's Q2 2025 revenue tripled YoY to $1.21B, with 62% EBITDA margins and a $30.1B backlog, driven by AI demand and pricing power; 3. Strategic deals with OpenAI ($22.4B) and Nvidia ($6.3B) enhance growth visibility and competitive advantage, supporting long-term investor appeal despite a 200% post-IPO surge.
- Vistra: The Smart Investment For Growing Electrical Demand1. TSMC's 2nm semiconductor process technology has achieved significant progress, with Apple securing the first batch of production capacity; 2. Intel's foundry business faces challenges due to delays in advanced process development and competition from TSMC; 3. The development highlights intensifying competition in cutting-edge chip manufacturing and supply chain dynamics.