SemiVoice

seekingalpha

04/09/2025, 06:43 AM UTC

别再提2008年，这次可能比那更糟S&P 500: Forget 2008, This Could Be Substantially Worse

1、市场情绪、技术指标和基本面变化表明将出现重大下跌；2、全球贸易中断和美国孤立主义政策表明看跌前景；3、尽管基本面看跌，但高VIX水平和VIX期货期限结构倒挂暗示短期反弹的可能性。

1. Market sentiment, technical indicators, and fundamental shifts suggest a significant downturn; 2. Global trade disruptions and US isolationist policies indicate a bearish outlook; 3. Despite bearish fundamentals, high VIX levels and backwardation in VIX futures term structure suggest potential for short-term rallies.

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