12/18/2024, 10:52 AM UTC
风暴前的宁静The Calm Before The Storm
1. 股市基本面稳健但正在减弱，尤其是在流动性方面。2. 大多数长期情绪和仓位指标已达到最高。3. 从基本面来看，市场已经定价完美。4. 如果经济数据和公司盈利令人失望，并且全球流动性继续下降，市场可能会出现显著的波动。5. 短期内市场强度表明，在2025年更加波动的市场之前，可能会出现一次最后的上涨。6. 证据表明，2025年对股票来说将是一个更具挑战性的年份。1. Stock market fundamentals are solid but weakening, especially in terms of liquidity. 2. Most long-term sentiment and position measures are at their maximum. 3. The market is priced for perfection from a fundamental perspective. 4. If economic data and corporate earnings disappoint and global liquidity continues to decline, significant market volatility could occur. 5. Short-term market strength suggests a final rally before a more volatile 2025. 6. Evidence indicates 2025 will be a challenging year for equities.---
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