02/07/2025, 12:00 PM UTC
如何通过贸易战策略保护我的生活储蓄免受最坏情况的影响Trade War Tactics: How I'm Protecting My Life Savings From The Worst Case Scenario
1、预测表明持续的贸易战可能导致基准情况下的28%熊市和最坏情况下的44%下跌。2、管理期货，特别是Simplify的CTA ETF，是有效的对冲资产，因为它们的负面下行捕获比和趋势跟踪精度。3、作者计划逐步转向CTA进行对冲，如果关税增加，将出售KMLM并购买更多CTA。1. Predictions suggest a sustained trade war could lead to a 28% bear market in the base case and a 44% decline in the worst-case scenario. 2. Managed futures, especially Simplify's CTA ETF, are effective hedging assets due to their negative downside capture ratio and trend-following precision. 3. The author's transition to CTA for hedging is gradual, with a plan to sell KMLM and buy more CTA if tariffs increase.---
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