10/03/2024, 12:05 PM UTC
债券市场的不确定性因素Bond Market Wild Card
1、投资者深知美联储在面对经济和劳动力市场问题时会降低利率。2、10年期国债收益率已低于4%，进一步降息空间有限。3、即使实现软着陆，名义GDP增长率也应约为4%，这与历史上的长期利率水平相符。1. Investors are aware of the Fed's willingness to cut interest rates in response to economic and labor market trouble. 2. With the 10-year Treasury Note yield below 4%, there is limited room for further rate cuts. 3. Even a soft landing scenario suggests nominal GDP growth around 4%, which aligns with historical long-term rate levels.
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