09/19/2024, 12:33 PM UTC
黄金易受冲击，长期风险大于回报（技术分析）Gold Vulnerable, Risks To Stay Long Now Outweigh The Reward (Technical Analysis)
1. 尽管黄金近期上涨，但由于相关宏观市场的技术发展，黄金持续回调至2300美元的可能性已大幅增加。2. 美元和债券收益率正在交易于关键支撑水平，市场正在积极定价降息。3. 能源、基础金属和农业等周期性商品部门显示出超越其他部门的潜力，这可能意味着对通缩的担忧可能被过度夸大。1. Despite the recent surge in gold, the probability of a sustained pullback to $2,300 has increased due to technical developments in related macro markets. 2. The USD and bond yields are trading at key support levels, with the market aggressively pricing in rate cuts. 3. Cyclical commodity sectors like energy, base metals, and agriculture show potential for outperformance, suggesting disinflation fears may be overdone.
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