12/15/2024, 01:30 PM UTC
美联储本周可能正在为市场制造灾难The Fed Could Be Creating A Disaster For The Market
1、美联储的降息决定可能会对利率、美元和债券市场产生重大影响,随着时间的推移,股票市场也会受到影响。2、尽管最近的数据显示通胀有所上升,但降息25个基点的可能性接近100%,但鉴于通胀预期上升,美联储应保持谨慎。3、如果美联储降息,除非通胀下降,否则应该是最后一次降息;否则,预计10年期利率将上升,美元将走强。1. The Fed's rate cut decision could significantly impact interest rates, the dollar, and the bond market, with equities also affected over time. 2. Despite recent inflation data, there is a near 100% chance for a 25 bps rate cut, but the Fed should be cautious given rising inflation expectations. 3. If the Fed cuts rates, it should be the last cut unless inflation drops; otherwise, higher 10-year rates and a stronger dollar are expected.---
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