12/23/2024, 09:28 AM UTC
大科技、中国和初创企业围攻英伟达，但这是一个两年的买入机会（评级上调）Nvidia's Fort Is Sieged By Big Tech, China, And Startups, But It's A Two-Year Buy (Rating Upgrade)
1、英伟达的护城河正受到初创企业、博通、AMD和大型科技企业内部AI芯片的挑战，推理市场正在多元化，初创企业正在获得细分市场的吸引力。2、美国限制和中国推动国内AI芯片的发展，将英伟达2022年的中国收入份额从24.6%削减至2025年的12.2%，削弱了增长前景。3、尽管预计2027年企业价值为5.83万亿美元，但增长放缓和周期性风险可能导致波动；目前的企业价值为3.13万亿美元，目前提供了24.21%的安全边际。1. Nvidia's moat is under pressure from startups, Broadcom, AMD, and Big Tech's in-house AI chips, with inference markets diversifying and startups gaining niche traction. 2. U.S. restrictions and China's push for domestic AI chips cut Nvidia's China revenue share from 24.6% in 2022 to 12.2% in 2025, weakening growth prospects. 3. Despite a $5.83T 2027 EV forecast, slowing growth and cyclical risks could spur volatility; current EV of $3.13T offers a 24.21% margin of safety for now.---
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