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October 21
- Arquitos Capital Management Q3 2025 Investor Letter1. Arquitos Capital Management reported strong returns of 29.6% net in Q2 2025, with a year-to-date return of 66.8%, driven by a focus on undervalued small-cap companies and long-term holdings. 2. Key holdings like Liquidia and Finch Therapeutics showed significant progress, including FDA approvals, litigation wins, and commercial success, while ENDI Corp demonstrated growth in assets and undervaluation. 3. The fund emphasizes patience, absolute returns, and comparisons to the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index, anticipating small-cap outperformance in the coming decade.
October 20
- Best International ETFs: Top 5 Countries To Outperform The U.S.1. Samsung and SK Hynix secured indefinite U.S. authorization to maintain semiconductor equipment in Chinese factories amid export controls; 2. The exemption stabilizes global chip supply chains by allowing upgrades of legacy equipment without new licenses; 3. The move reflects geopolitical balancing as U.S. aims to limit China's advanced chip capabilities while protecting allies' investments.
- The High-Stakes Bet On Sunbelt Apartments - A Deep Dive Into Independence Realty1. Independence Realty Trust (IRT) provides leveraged exposure to Sunbelt apartment markets, targeting class-B properties with higher risk/reward potential; 2. The REIT trades at a discounted FFO multiple compared to peers and offers a 4.2% dividend yield, but faces risks from high leverage and interest expenses; 3. Management anticipates growth as Sunbelt supply stabilizes, with a 'Buy' rating initiated based on potential double-digit upside if market conditions improve.
- Figure Technology Solutions: Differentiated Tech With A Long Growth Runway1. FIGR's proprietary Provenance blockchain enables faster, cheaper, and scalable loan origination, creating structural cost advantages; 2. Transitioning to a capital-light marketplace model (Figure Connect) enhances scalability, margins, and reduces business risks; 3. Despite HELOC market concentration risks, regulatory barriers and macro trends support continued growth and upside potential.
October 19
- Fearful About BDCs? Be Greedy1. Investors are increasingly fearful of BDCs, reflected in a sector-wide 22% discount to NAV; 2. The author advocates adopting Warren Buffett's 'be greedy when others are fearful' strategy, detailing reasons to invest in undervalued BDCs; 3. The article outlines actionable insights for capitalizing on current market pessimism through selective BDC investments.
- Wall Street Breakfast:1. The third-quarter earnings season intensifies with major companies like Netflix (NFLX) and Tesla (TSLA) set to report results; 2. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release September's CPI data amid a government shutdown, offering critical inflation insights; 3. U.S.-China trade tensions escalate over rare earth export controls, drawing investor attention to geopolitical risks.
- MEGI: Collect High Yield Income From Global Utilities And Infrastructure1. NYLI CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Term Fund (MEGI) is recommended as a Strong Buy, offering over 10% yield and trading at a 7% NAV discount; 2. The fund benefits from global infrastructure trends, AI-driven data center growth, and anticipated interest rate cuts, supporting both income and capital appreciation; 3. It features well-covered monthly distributions, no return of capital, strong total returns, and ongoing insider/activist buying, though risks include leverage and foreign exposure.
- Celestica's Peak? Time For A Pullback1. Celestica receives a 'Hold' rating as its stock price already reflects strong margin growth and hyperscale-driven CCS segment expansion; 2. Revenue is shifting toward higher-margin Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) due to AI/data center demand and partnerships with hyperscalers; 3. Despite robust EPS growth, valuation now aligns with peers like ANET, limiting near-term upside after a multi-year rally.
- Cracker Barrel: Great Value, But Traffic Deterioration Is Concerning (Rating Downgrade)1. Cracker Barrel faced media backlash in 2025 due to a controversial logo change and subsequent reversal, leading to an 8% traffic decline; 2. Despite hopes that publicity would boost visits, FY26 guidance indicates ongoing weak traffic trends; 3. The stock trades cheaply at ~8x forward EBITDA, but uncertainty around brand recovery prompts a downgrade to neutral.
October 18
- ASML Results Update: Price Power Remains Key In A Growing Market1. ASML maintains a Hold rating due to its strong fundamentals, cash generation, and dominance in advanced lithography for AI-driven chip demand; 2. The company benefits from pricing power and strategic positioning but faces risks from geopolitical tensions and potential competition, particularly from China; 3. While momentum and cash flow are robust, growth trails AI peers, and current valuations reflect both solid fundamentals and AI-driven market optimism.
- The Cooper Companies: Defensive Gem With Insider Buying And Building Momentum1. Cooper Companies (COO) is projected to strongly outperform the S&P 500, particularly in a recession, rebounding from its 2025 sell-off; 2. The stock trades at decade-low valuations, with renewed insider buying, positive momentum, and a history of resilience during economic downturns; 3. The company leads the global contact lens market, maintains a strong balance sheet, and recently expanded its share repurchase program by $1 billion.
- Volkswagen: Catalysts, Risks, And A Valuation That's Hard To Ignore1. Volkswagen is reiterated as a Buy due to attractive valuation and turnaround potential despite recent stock declines and macro challenges; 2. The company faces headwinds like weak EV demand, Chinese competition, and US tariffs but is implementing cost controls to boost margins; 3. Potential catalysts include rate cuts and economic recovery, though tariff uncertainties and global competition pose risks, making the investment case dependent on macro improvements and risk appetite.
- XLV: Lower Interest Rates And A Positive Growth Outlook Will Pave The Way1. The Fed's interest rate cuts are expected to boost funding deployment in the healthcare sector; 2. XLV's top holdings show strong profitability with a median revenue growth forecast of 6.53%; 3. U.S. drug pricing legislation targeting Medicaid has limited impact, and XLV's low expense ratio and high AUM position it favorably among peers.
- Good Bubble, Bad Bubble1. A report indicates Samsung's 3D chip packaging technology lags behind TSMC, affecting its competitiveness in advanced chips; 2. Samsung's delayed US factory production may impact HBM chip supplies critical for AI applications; 3. The company plans supply chain improvements and R&D acceleration to close the gap, but faces technical challenges and geopolitical risks.
- Q3 2025 Review: Bears Capture Headlines While Bulls And Gold Bugs Garner Profits1. Gold has outperformed the S&P 500 Index since 2000, particularly in the 2020s and year-to-date; 2. Growth-focused US equity ETFs have consistently surpassed value ETFs, contradicting strategists' rotation predictions; 3. ValuEngine's predictive model evaluates seven US stock ETFs, providing ratings based on quantitative analysis.
- Politics And The Markets 10/18/251. The article introduces a daily political discussion forum on Seeking Alpha, emphasizing its unregulated nature and potential for heated debates; 2. It outlines strict moderation guidelines prohibiting personal attacks, COVID-19 misinformation, hate speech, and incitements to violence; 3. The disclosure clarifies that Seeking Alpha is not a licensed financial advisor and its content reflects third-party authors' opinions.
October 17
- AMD: Likely Path To $6001. AMD secures a transformative AI growth opportunity through a landmark GPU partnership with OpenAI, positioning for significant data center revenue expansion; 2. The OpenAI deal could drive AMD's annual AI revenue to tens of billions, with potential cumulative revenue exceeding $100 billion over several years; 3. Barclays sets a $300 price target for AMD, citing strong EPS growth and upside potential from AI partnerships, while analysts argue the stock remains undervalued relative to its AI prospects.
- Energy Dividend Stocks: I Like Kinder Morgan, But Love Enterprise Products Partners1. The energy sector faces challenges, reflected in XLE's year-over-year dividend decline on a TTM basis; 2. Kinder Morgan (KMI) outperforms the sector average with stronger ROCE and moderate dividend growth; 3. Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) offers a more attractive investment profile than KMI, featuring higher yield, lower payout ratio, better valuation metrics (P/E, PEGY), and consistent performance.
- Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) Analyst/Investor Day - Slideshow1. Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) released a slide deck for its Analyst/Investor Day event; 2. The presentation is part of the company's corporate communications strategy to engage analysts and investors; 3. The article highlights the publication of the slide deck by Seeking Alpha's transcripts team, which specializes in curating earnings calls and corporate events.
- Airbnb: Q3 2025 Performance May Disappoint As Growth Normalizes1. Airbnb's Q3 2025 performance may disappoint due to normalization of growth and weaker demand for alternative accommodations; 2. Similar pullbacks in the cruise sector highlight broader travel industry challenges despite resilient consumer demand; 3. While Airbnb's strong balance sheet and share buybacks support long-term value, premium valuations and mixed trading volumes may lead to continued stock underperformance.
October 16
- Energy Transfer: Bottom-Fishing The Midstream Sector1. Energy Transfer (ET) offers an attractive 8%+ yield and trades at a significant discount compared to peers, with potential for distribution growth; 2. Growth is driven by infrastructure projects like the Desert Southwest and Hugh Brinson pipelines, targeting rising LNG and data center demand; 3. Recent earnings stability and anticipated Q3 results provide upside catalysts, though risks include project delays and AI-driven demand uncertainty.
October 15
- Visa: The Best Network Effect On The Planet1. Visa maintains dominance through its unparalleled network effect and global payment infrastructure, driving consistent growth; 2. The company demonstrates strong financial performance with high margins and capital efficiency despite premium valuation; 3. Visa actively counters fintech and crypto challenges by adopting new technologies and expanding value-added services to reinforce its market position.
- Black Rock Coffee Bar: Excellent Growth At A Reasonable Price1. Samsung Electronics faces its first-ever union-led strike over unresolved wage and bonus disputes; 2. The National Samsung Electronics Union demands higher wages and improved bonus systems, while management claims to offer competitive compensation; 3. The strike could disrupt chip production, potentially impacting global supply chains and memory chip markets.
- Oracle: The Beginning Of A Long Rally1. Oracle has transformed into a leading AI infrastructure provider, driving significant stock growth; 2. Its cloud business, including Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, is accelerating revenue growth and could expand nearly 10x in five years; 3. Record-high backlogs position Oracle to potentially surpass Microsoft in AI enterprise solutions.
- ASML Earnings Preview: Why I Expect A Beat And An Upbeat Outlook1. ASML is a critical supplier of EUV lithography machines to major chipmakers like TSMC, Intel, and Samsung, enabling advanced chip production; 2. Historical data shows a strong correlation (+0.85) between TSMC's capital expenditure and ASML's revenue growth six quarters later, with recent spending hikes signaling future revenue surges; 3. Memory producers like Micron and SK Hynix are ramping up investments in ASML's EUV technology to meet AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM).
October 14
- Stocks That Stand To Be 'Hurt' By AI Eating The World1. The Ithaka Group's portfolio underperformed the R1000G benchmark in Q3 2025, largely due to weak performance in Technology stocks outside the AI supply chain; 2. AI-driven companies benefiting from capital expenditure cycles outperformed, while stocks vulnerable to AI disruption lagged; 3. Portfolio turnover rates increased, reflecting strategic adjustments amid AI-driven market shifts.
- CoreWeave: A Trillion-Dollar Play In The Making1. TSMC's Arizona semiconductor plant construction faces delays due to skilled labor shortages and disputes over U.S. worker training; 2. Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China amplify challenges in semiconductor supply chain localization; 3. The project highlights broader struggles in reshoring advanced chip manufacturing amid global tech competition.
October 13
- One Does Not Simply Impose 100% Tariffs On China1. Escalating US-China trade tensions due to President Trump's threat of 100% tariffs; 2. Initial market impact includes liquidation margin calls in leveraged sectors; 3. Investors advised to exercise caution when considering buying market dips, with the author disclosing short positions in QQQ and SPY.
- Energy Transfer: When It Rains Gold, Put Out The Bucket1. Energy Transfer (ET) offers an 8.1% yield, appealing to income investors amid recent price declines; 2. Its diversified pipeline network and fee-based cash flows ensure stable earnings, supported by AI-driven demand and LNG export growth; 3. Trading at 5x cash flow, ET is undervalued compared to peers, with a secure distribution and management targeting 3-5% annual growth, presenting a long-term opportunity.
- Brookfield Asset Management: A Better Company Since The Spin-Off1. Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) is a leading alternative asset manager with $1T+ in assets, growing earnings and dividends through a debt-free, capital-light model; 2. New revenue streams like carried interests and insurance operations drive predictable, scalable growth; 3. The stock offers a 3.2% yield, distributes nearly all earnings as dividends, and is positioned for 15% annual dividend growth, making it ideal for dividend growth investors.